I saw an interesting suggestion to check your Facebook and see how many supporters the various candidates have in terms of likes for their pages among your friends. I had to change to the mobile version. In my case:
9: Hillary Clinton
0: Donald Trump
4: Gary Johnson (Libertarian)
6: Bernie Sanders
0: Ted Cruz
Now, obviously, this is only a small fraction of my FB friends, so it’s probably not very representative. Nevertheless, I find it interesting that not a one of my FB friends like Trump enough to like his page. Supposedly, 39% of Americans support Trump, at least to the extent of planning to vote for him. I have never personally met a Trump supporter. Not a one! Have you? I’ve written on here before that I can understand why some people might like Trump, even if I disagree with them, but I guess I don’t really have any friends that would or do. (Who might like Trump? Someone who has lost their job to globalization and otherwise feels left behind in our new global economy and ignored by the Democrats with their focus on social issues and series of trade agreements.) There are some very conservative folks at work, not surprisingly, but certainly none of them have given any indication of actively liking Trump, though I imagine some of them will vote for him.
Of course, many people who don’t particularly like Trump will hold their nose and vote for him anyway, exposing our country to great peril. For example, a passionate pro-lifer who really feels that abortion is state-sanctioned baby-murder, may feel compelled to vote for Trump, despite the fact I believe he is really pro-choice at heart. Why? The Supreme Court. There will be a lot of Supreme Court voters on both sides, I would guess, people who dislike both candidates but recognize the stakes.
Really, I feel Hillary cannot lose as long as she keeps her health and avoids major scandal. Demographics and the mood of the day are in her favor. But she is not young. Her VP pick is not perfect, but overall, I think he’s a good choice, and I suppose he would probably be able to step in if she had a heart attack before the election. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen.
Assuming all goes as expected and Hillary wins in a landslide, what happens next? I vaguely remember Democrats getting trounced in elections, but I don’t remember them completely reinventing themselves. They may have done so, and I was just too young to notice. Remember Dukakis? He lost badly. Trump may lose even more badly. But what is the right path for the Republicans? I’d suggest that the party might collapse, but again, both parties have gone through hard times before, and they seem to be able to evolve and become successful again.