The ascension of Mississippi to the top of the deaths per capita table is . . . interesting. (They’re still only edging NJ by 3%.) Until recently, it didn’t matter how self-righteous the Covid lockdowners were, Covid stubbornly refused to behave to the desired political message. TX had only 10% more deaths than CA this spring right before vaccines became widely available. In other words, if draconian CA-style restrictions were implemented nationwide, instead of TX-style moderation, we’d have expected to save about 50,000 lives last year – pretty typical for an average flu season. Limiting restaurants to 50% capacity, blocking large gatherings, shutting churches, and mandating masks is just not that effective. Australia style DONOTLEAVEYOURHOUSEFORANYREASON rules were quite effective (pre-Delta), but the US has never tried not, not anywhere, not ever. Not even in the first few weeks.
But the vaccine changes everything. Vaccines, unlike masks and closing a few tables in restaurants, really work. Half the country is achieving immunity through infection, which the CDC has told us results in 10 times the deaths along the way. I believe it. Only 42% of Mississippians are fully vaccinated. Same with Alabama. TX isn’t much better at 50%. By contrast, NY is at 63%, CA at 58%, and WA at 60%. I imagine having an extra 20% of people vaccinated will make quite a big difference. Though I’m guessing we’re all getting to herd immunity eventually one way or another. We know which is the bloodier route. Which is the fast route?